Pay prospects survey: employers forecast pay rises of 2% in 2010

Despite the backdrop of recession and restraint in pay awards, there are signs that settlements may pick up slightly if the anticipated economic upturn gathers steam during the bargaining year ahead. Almost one-third of employee groups may not receive a pay rise next year, however.

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Our research
Pay prospects for 2009/10
Box 1: The most common reasons why employers will not make a pay award on the usual date in 2009/10
Pay awards forecast 2009/10
Pay forecasts by sector
Comparing predicted increases with 2008/09 awards
Chart 1: Pay settlement expectations for 2009/10 compared with 2008/9
Influences on pay settlements
        Business and economic factors
        Comparability factors
        Labour market factors
Key upward pressures
Key downward pressures
Balance of pay pressures
Chart 2: Key negotiating pressures for 2009/10
Role of inflation in setting pay
Reward systems
Reward changes planned
Table 1: Expected pay awards in the 2009/10 pay round
Table 2: Predicted influences on the 2009/10 pay round by broad industrial sector
Table 3: Predicted key upward and downward pressures on the 2009/10 pay round
Table 4: Current and planned reward strategies
Table 5: Survey details
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