The vast majority of workers in both the private and public sectors are receiving pay awards below the rate of inflation, according to latest IRS research.
The headline rate of inflation (subscription required) - as measured by the retail prices index (RPI) - stood at 4.3% in May 2008, according to official figures released today. Meanwhile, the IRS headline measure of pay awards (subscription required) across the whole economy is 3.2% - 1.1 percentage points below the rate of inflation. Prices are therefore rising 1.1 percentage points above the rate of increase in wages, resulting in major constraints on household budgets.
Just 6.1% of pay awards are worth the same as or more than RPI inflation.
At the same time, consumer prices inflation (CPI) (subscription required) - the government's preferred measure - surged to 3.3% in May, 0.1 percentage point above the headline pay award.
Below-inflation pay awards are therefore now a reality for most workers in both the public and private sectors. The median basic pay increase in the public sector in the year to April 2008 is 2.5%, 1.8 percentage points below RPI inflation. In the private sector, pay awards for the year to April 2008 are running at 3.5%, still 0.8 percentage points lower than the increase in prices.
IRS research reveals that this pattern has been continuing for some time. Pay settlements have now been below the rate of RPI inflation since May 2006, when both figures stood at 3%. The gap between inflation and pay settlements has hit a record 1.1 percentage points twice since then - in November 2007 and May 2008.
It will be intriguing to see whether these patterns change in our next monthly analysis, which will be published on the IRS Pay Intelligence (subscription required) homepage on Friday 27 June 2008, and will include full details of pay awards over the three months to 31 May 2008.
- If your organisation has recently settled its annual pay award, and you would like to contribute to our monthly analysis of pay trends, you can submit details of your organisation's latest settlement for inclusion in the IRS pay databank by completing the online form.




Comments (2)
The IRS figures have been picked up extensively in the press today - including in the Daily Mail, which made it their front page lead story under the banner headline: "The shrinking pay packet".
In addition, IRS pay and benefits editor Sheila Attwood did a number of radio interviews about the figures. Here are a few more links to reports on the IRS figures:
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1026842/Inflation-outstrips-salary-rises-time--going-worse.html?ITO=1490
http://latestnews.virginmedia.com/news/money/2008/06/17/most_pay_awards_below_inflation
http://www.channel4.com/news/articles/business_money/most+pay+awards+below+inflation/2289682
http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-news/2008/06/17/pay-awards-lower-than-inflation-91466-21088391/
http://www.personneltoday.com/articles/2008/06/17/46353/below-inflation-pay-awards-become-reality.html
http://uk.biz.yahoo.com/17062008/323/most-uk-workers-receive-below-inflation-pay-rises.html
http://www.lse.co.uk/FinanceNews.asp?shareprice=&ArticleCode=rzkkfuc3jz2bc7w&ArticleHeadline=Most_UK_workers_receive_belowinflation_pay_rises
http://money.aol.co.uk/money-news/most-pay-awards-below-inflation/article/20080617055009990005
http://edinburghnews.scotsman.com/latestnews/Bank-of-England-chief-warns.4192827.jp
http://news.scotsman.com/latestnews/Bank-of-England-chief-warns.4192827.jp
Posted by Mark | June 18, 2008 9:58 AM
Posted on June 18, 2008 09:58
And here is that Daily Mail front page: http://news.sky.com/skynews/picture_gallery/0,,91232-1319365-10,00.html
Posted by Michael Carty | June 18, 2008 10:51 AM
Posted on June 18, 2008 10:51